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Letter 5: Constructing the Climate Change Project Portfolio

To: Nani G. Oruga, The Bees Trees
From: Chris N. Eppers, Solar Musketeers
Re: The climate change operational strategy, pilot phase projects and NGO views.

Dear Nani,

I'm glad to hear that there is such an interest in wind power in your region and that your government is trying to get some funding for pilot projects. I wish I could say my government was as interested. Anyway, here is the information on the climate change operational strategy. I've also thrown in some of the NGO concerns from the pilot phase and briefly mentioned some aspects of NGO involvement in this focal area. Currently, about a third of GEF resources are allocated to climate change projects.

The Pilot Phase

During the Pilot Phase, the GEF Participants approved a variety of projects which included investment in and technical assistance for biomass, wind energy, solar photovoltaic, carbon sequestration, energy efficiency, fuel conversion, arid supply-side efficiency. For example, in Mauritania, there is a project to demonstrate the potential for using wind electric generators to support off-grid delivery of essential electricity-based services in rural areas. One climate change project in China involves rehabilitation of gas transmission and distribution systems to eliminate methane gas losses. Some research projects were also funded, such as on methane emissions from rice fields, and alternatives to slash and burn agriculture. Many of these Pilot Phase projects are now being implemented and a few have been completed.

The Independent Evaluation did not give a rave review to the climate change portfolio, and was particularly critical with regard to the strategies arid criteria for selecting projects. One of the principal objectives of the focal area was to develop a menu of technologies that offered the greatest possible emissions reduction at the lowest cost. However the political need for a geographical balance undercut this objective, because projects had to be spread out rather than focused on the countries that had the highest emissions. Another difficulty that became apparent was that rigorous application of the incremental cost criteria would prevent support for activities such as energy efficiency projects which are not implemented to the extent one would expect, given the usually positive returns on such investments. The Operational Strategy appears to address most of these problems. The Climate Change Operational Strategy

The general idea underpinning the climate change operational-strategy (Chapter 3 of the Revised Operational Strategy (GEF/C.6/3), is that there should be some sort of balance between investments that achieve permanent reductions in greenhouse gas emissions over the long term and those which give an immediate (short term) reduction, but don't necessarily produce a shift to an environmentally friendly energy base. It is based on guidance from the Parties to the Framework Convention on Climate Change (FCCC). (In fact it was the GEF that proposed several alternatives for guidance, and then the Parties chose the middle of the road proposal.)

Within the framework of this strategy, the GEF will fund enabling activities, adaptation activities and mitigation measures: the latter could be either long or short term. Adaptation activities are those such as building dikes and sea walls to avoid flooding associated with sea level rise and severe storms. Small island states and other countries with low lying coastal areas are particularly vulnerable to the impacts of global warming. This is recognised by the Climate Convention and the Conference of Parties has provided guidance to the GEF regarding adaptation activities.

While financing is supposed to be available, donor countries do not want to commit support. Adapting to climate change would be very expensive because of all the infrastructure work. The compromise that was reached by the Conference of Parties allows the GEF to fund planning for adaptation, but not investment projects for actual adaptation activities.

Long Term Operational Programmes

Measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions over the long term will generally involve making it easier and cheaper to adopt climate-friendly commercially available technologies by removing barriers such as price distortions, lack of information, low management capabilities, and regulatory barriers and biases. The costs of removing barriers, such as learning costs (capacity building, awareness raising) are incremental costs. This helps to address some of the criticisms of the Pilot Phase, namely that some types of projects such as energy efficiency ones were not being funded. The other approach that will be taken is to reduce the cost of promising technologies so that they become economically viable.

The strategy recognises that long term reduction of greenhouse gas emissions will require the use of technologies, such as renewable energy ones that avoid emissions. All the same, there is the possibility of funding fossil fuel projects, such as supply side efficiency or coal to gas conversions. These would lower, but certainly not avoid, CO2 emissions. Furthermore, they would not contribute to switching to a fossil fuel free energy base. There are differences of views among both NGOs and Council members as to whether the GEF should fund these types of projects. Some believe that the GEF should not fund anything that would contribute to climate change even if it slows it down. Others argue that developing countries should be able to use they own natural resources, such as coal, and should have assistance in acquiring the technology to use it efficiently.

Three operational programmes for long term mitigation have been identified so far:

1. Removing barriers to energy conservation and energy efficiency. Projects might include developing demand side management programmes, encouraging supportive legal regulatory, and policy changes, or establishing and strengthening integrated resource planning.

2. Promoting adoption of renewable energy by removing barriers and recurring implementation costs. Examples of possible projects included on and off grid photovoltaic installations, combustion of agricultural residues to generate heat and power, methane control technologies for waste disposal, and wind power. Supporting measures include organisational reform and 'innovative' financing such as revolving funds.

3. Reducing the long-term casts of low Greenhouse gas-emitting technologies. With this operational programme, it is expected that through learning and economies of scale, the costs of manufacturing will become commercially competitive. Solar-thermal power generation, advanced biomass power, fuel cells, and advanced fossil fuel technologies were some of the technologies that were thought to be "particularly well suited to this approach" [of this operational programme]. (One sentence that NGOs were disappointed to see. removed from the final version of the strategy, stated that "the emphasis will be on renewable energy, and support for applications of fossil fuel technologies will be relatively modest".)

NGOs were disappointed that there would not be an operational programme on reducing emissions in the transport sector and felt that increased emphasis on using agricultural residues was needed. Some projects will receive support as short term response measures. The idea is to develop more experience and a better perspective of the GEF's role before developing a transport operational programme. Another concern of some NGOs was the social cost of changes in energy pricing policies. As you know, even small price increases for energy could hurt many people in developing countries.

Enabling activities

The guidance from the Parties to the Climate Convention says that these are aimed at facilitating implementation of effective responses to climate change. Initially these activities will be emphasised. They would include planning and capacity building, such as institutional strengthening, training, research and education. Some activities, such as assistance for preparing the reports called national communications, are also considered to be enabling activities. Preparation of these communications is required by the Climate Convention. They include information on sources and sinks of greenhouse gases, and a description of steps taken or planned for implementing the Convention. As I mentioned earlier, planning for adaptation (known as a Stage 1 adaptation activity) is included in enabling activities.

Short term projects

The last category of projects includes those that reduce emissions in the short term. The reason for funding these kinds of activities is that they would reduce emissions very quickly and should be inexpensive. They are likely to include fossil fuel projects. However they would only postpone carbon accumulation because countries would still be emitting CO2. The criteria for these projects are: cost effectiveness (only projects whose cost per tonne of carbon not emitted is below a certain ceiling would be eligible); likelihood of success; and that projects are country-driven, for example included in the national climate change plan. A footnote (#27) points out that at the suggested threshold of $10 per ton of carbon, every $200 million spent on short term measures would postpone carbon accumulation by only one day.

If the GEF should ever develop a policy on targeted research, NGOs have proposed that, in the climate focal area, research and analysis should relate to exploring some of the macroeconomic and other causes of investment in climate unfriendly technologies, including MDBs and private, foreign direct investment. They have also been concerned that the operational strategy does not clearly outline how the GEF would work to catalyse changes in other multilateral, national, and private sector initiatives, particularly those of the World Bank.

NGO involvement

Climate and energy NGOs are fairly comfortable with the strategy. It is important, though, to monitor the portfolio as a whole in order to ensure that it is not overwhelmed with fossil-fuel based activities. NGO participation in GEF projects has been mixed, however I wouldn't say that every project needs an NGO per se. Some projects may be concentrated on a single plant or electrical installation. If public awareness programmes could be built into all projects, then NGOs might play a role there. It would be great though if NGOs had access to GEF funds in order to carry out smaller projects. The most important aspect, though, is that, in a given project, all the actors that should be involved are involved, and that it is country-driven. NGOs can play a role in making sure that this happens, for example by facilitating communication, suggesting ideas for possible projects, reviewing project proposals, and monitoring projects. Some examples of country-driven projects, with reasonably good participation are the Jamaica Demand Side Management Demonstration project, the Peruvian Technical Assistance to the Centre for Energy Efficiency, and the Electricity, Fuel and Fertiliser from Municipal and Industrial Organic Waste in Tanzania: A Demonstration Bio-gas Plant for Africa.

I hope you find the money for the wind farm.

Regards,

-Chris-

 

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